Last year it snowed and was cold early on and then it sucked out. wait a couple of weeks and pray for the 1000 inch year we are gonna get. I'd rather enjoy the sun and then get dumped on once it's really winter than get teased and get nothing.
yea early snow is not good unless it either stays cold and keeps on snowing, or completely melts away before the real season begins. Now all that early snow we got is going to be our first layer, not good because it's been melting, when it gets cold and starts snowing again, it's going to be rock hard and facety. I'm no expert or anything, but I know this is what happened to the snow stability last year.
on the contrary to what has been said regarding avalanches. This year is shaping up better than last for slides. Last year we got early season snowfall followed by warmth and then later cold nights with cold air aloft. This created a shituation where there was a significant amount of depth hoar. This was the cause of much unstable snow that we saw especially in north facing aspects. Whats happening this year, is that we have had a very warm trend with temperatures that didn't allow for freezing overnight. This will theoretically lead to a snowpack that is settled and will remain stable, as long as we don't get into a trend of warm days with much colder nights.
With that said, this is utah and we can for sure expect avalanches.
Last, snowmower made a good point to me. following a 7 year cycle with a 500 inch average, it is likely that this season could be below average. The reason being that 3 of the last 4 seasons have been 700+ inch years. To balance that out, we are going to have a few 300-400 inch years.