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May, 2023

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Ski Slopestyle Gambling Odds

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One.2
Posts: 674 - Karma: 3,310
In your opinion who is the best value? Think I'm going to go with AHall at +550

Odds via FanDuel:
https://www.fanduel.com/theduel/posts/2022-winter-olympics-mens-freestyle-skiing-slopestyle-gold-medal-odds-fanduel-sportsbook-01fv054hbjpb
Feb 4 2022 2:24PM
9 0
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One.2
Posts: 674 - Karma: 3,310
Odds for all competitors below:
Feb 4 2022 2:29PM
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eheath
Posts: 60348 - Karma: 110,165
Goep dog at +1400 seems like a no brainer, McEachran also getting no respect at +3400.

Both colby and ahall would be good payouts too tho
Feb 4 2022 2:29PM
13 0
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corona
Posts: 12689 - Karma: 31,430
Henrik and Teal seem like obvious options given their potential and odds.
Feb 4 2022 2:30PM
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eheath
Posts: 60348 - Karma: 110,165
coronaHenrik and Teal seem like obvious options given their potential and odds.


Teal for sure, not surprised with henrik, he has podiumed at xgames twice in slopestyle in 9 years.

Now for big air, i'd put some scratch on henrik for sure.
Feb 4 2022 5:20PM
3 0
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Jibber1.3
Posts: 17 - Karma: 72
Hear me out, thib mangin, +10000 in big air?
Feb 4 2022 7:38PM
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casual
Posts: 6712 - Karma: 6,737
I’m kind of surprised at Birk’s odds.

I like Max to podium……
Feb 5 2022 2:30PM
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scratchskier321
Posts: 2412 - Karma: 1,067
mac forehand is the best bet.
Feb 5 2022 2:51PM
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Drail
Posts: 13993 - Karma: 9,835
Oh how tempting it is to put money on Harlaut. His is looking very comfortable right now and he has come out and won x games in years past without competing previously thar year.

Moffatt is coming off a strong win (in my personal reality he won x games slope) so there's that.
Feb 5 2022 6:09PM
5 0
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Drail
Posts: 13993 - Karma: 9,835
Nerding out right now while watching snowboard qualifiers to see how the course is. I might be way off, but if there's 12 that make the finals this is my predicted results:
1- A Hall (last to drop, taking it from Colby - mirror of Dew Tour)
2- Colby (2rd run)
3- Andri (falls runs 1&2, lands run 3 - overscored)
4- Goepper (early on the drop list, nails 1st run, underscored and belongs on the podium)
5- Forehand
6- Woody (1st run)
7- Jasper (judges just don't know what to do with him)
8- Harlaut (2nd run - wu tang!)
9- Dahl
10- Fabian
11- Evan (couldn't put down a clean run)
12- Moffatt (couldn't put down a clean run)

Bonus: Woodsy and/or Harlaut most likely to do an opposite carve rodeo/bio on jump 1.

Maybe?
Feb 5 2022 11:56PM
3 0
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snomaster
Posts: 3255 - Karma: 5,184
DrailMoffatt is coming off a strong win (in my personal reality he won x games slope) so there's that.

then you mark him as likely to not finish a run... I think you like him.
Feb 6 2022 12:05AM
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Drail
Posts: 13993 - Karma: 9,835
snomasterthen you mark him as likely to not finish a run... I think you like him.


All I know is, if it were me and I just put down the best runs of my career at X Games the personal expectations would be so high that I know I'd buckle under the pressure that I put on myself.
Feb 6 2022 12:17AM
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Drail
Posts: 13993 - Karma: 9,835
Watching the snowboarders and the course looks off. I don't think it's a wind issue. Kinda looks like the angles are wrong from takeoff to landing in the jumps. They're either landing heavy or too light. Not a lot of landing in the sweetspot.

Anyone know how much practice time they get on the course?
Feb 6 2022 12:21AM
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thatsG
Posts: 2479 - Karma: 1,183
Hamming some $$$ on Mac
Feb 6 2022 12:59AM
1 0
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soup
Posts: 6266 - Karma: 3,888
DrailWatching the snowboarders and the course looks off. I don't think it's a wind issue. Kinda looks like the angles are wrong from takeoff to landing in the jumps. They're either landing heavy or too light. Not a lot of landing in the sweetspot.

Anyone know how much practice time they get on the course?


Thinking the same thing. It's like the speed Is off or something
Feb 6 2022 1:12AM
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ASSholebomber22
Posts: 6332 - Karma: 67,006
DrailWatching the snowboarders and the course looks off. I don't think it's a wind issue. Kinda looks like the angles are wrong from takeoff to landing in the jumps. They're either landing heavy or too light. Not a lot of landing in the sweetspot.

Anyone know how much practice time they get on the course?


It's kinda like the landings are too steep/short, they're either on the knuckle or they go way deep no in between
Feb 6 2022 1:25AM
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snomaster
Posts: 3255 - Karma: 5,184
it's just a dynamic course. the boys are going to rip.
I wish anna gasser put one down. she was boosting!
zoe had it mostly dialed. she's fun to watch
I think people can go way bigger than what we've seen.
Feb 6 2022 3:13AM
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Rparr
Posts: 4936 - Karma: 34,747
BiffbarfIt's kinda like the landings are too steep/short, they're either on the knuckle or they go way deep no in between


damn sounds like my tiny midwest hill lmao
Feb 6 2022 3:16AM
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Drail
Posts: 13993 - Karma: 9,835
snomasterit's just a dynamic course. the boys are going to rip.
I wish anna gasser put one down. she was boosting!
zoe had it mostly dialed. she's fun to watch
I think people can go way bigger than what we've seen.


Yeah. By the end of the men's slopestyle it definitly showed that it's best to take it deep. Skiers gonna have so much hang time. Who's potentially got a quad in their bag? Now I'm thinking Andri or Goepper for the win with ...rails (they just gotta spin a bit and land) to dub 12 to switch trip 16 to quad 1980 (ok, probably just a quad 18).

Think a skier will get the speed and balls to slide the top of the house?
Feb 6 2022 4:11AM
2 0
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skierman
Posts: 7516 - Karma: 500
DrailWatching the snowboarders and the course looks off. I don't think it's a wind issue. Kinda looks like the angles are wrong from takeoff to landing in the jumps. They're either landing heavy or too light. Not a lot of landing in the sweetspot.

Anyone know how much practice time they get on the course?


Its because they're women.
Feb 6 2022 6:54AM
2 6
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corona
Posts: 12689 - Karma: 31,430
The way the scoring is set up, if the rail judges actually know what's a difficult/easy trick and aren't just wowed by same way spins and low consequence hits, then the podium will be skiers that are good at both rails and jumps.
Feb 6 2022 9:26AM
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snomaster
Posts: 3255 - Karma: 5,184
DrailThink a skier will get the speed and balls to slide the top of the house?

Of course! I want to also see someone land on the roof kinda low then exit the roof like a jump, like a skewed take off and go ham.
Feb 6 2022 12:14PM
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SkiBum.
Posts: 3574 - Karma: 3,833
Who’s judging this? That’s the question. I watched the womens snowboard slope some and just saw red and green boxes for jumps? Then a final score?

Also seemed hard to have someone finish a complete and clean run. Doubt that is the same for mens ski/board but who knows.
Feb 6 2022 1:15PM
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eheath
Posts: 60348 - Karma: 110,165
SkiBum.Who’s judging this? That’s the question.

Same judges that judge everything else.
Feb 6 2022 1:22PM
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Drail
Posts: 13993 - Karma: 9,835
skiermanIts because they're women.

It was the men, but whatever
Feb 7 2022 11:05AM
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Stainr
Posts: 1176 - Karma: -1,088
Barstool only lets you bet $15 max??


on this… wtf
Feb 7 2022 11:23AM
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eheath
Posts: 60348 - Karma: 110,165
StainrBarstool only lets you bet $15 max??



on this… wtf

you would be the idiot that uses barstool sportsbook lol
Feb 7 2022 11:28AM
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Stainr
Posts: 1176 - Karma: -1,088
eheathyou would be the idiot that uses barstool sportsbook lol

What's wrong with barstool? Ive been with bovada for 10 years. Just switched over.
Feb 7 2022 11:30AM
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eheath
Posts: 60348 - Karma: 110,165
StainrWhat's wrong with barstool? Ive been with bovada for 10 years. Just switched over.


Its run by a bunch of dumbass chads who make awful content and think they rule the world. I'd go with Fanduel if it was legal in my state.
Feb 7 2022 11:32AM
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Stainr
Posts: 1176 - Karma: -1,088
eheathIts run by a bunch of dumbass chads who make awful content and think they rule the world. I'd go with Fanduel if it was legal in my state.


Can you bet more than $15 on that same bet? this is ridiculous.
Feb 7 2022 11:39AM
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eheath
Posts: 60348 - Karma: 110,165
StainrCan you bet more than $15 on that same bet? this is ridiculous.


probably, but idk havent looked. I'm guessing they have a cap because they have absolutely no idea who is gonna win and are taking odds from another source that has handicapped the event.
Feb 7 2022 11:42AM
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NotEnoughSkiing
Posts: 86 - Karma: 364
Beware - these are effectively customer grabs. The sites will be ok if they lose a few dollars if they now have you as a customer for life because you are convinced they don't know what they are doing by setting lines.

$10-20 for fun is one thing especially when someone has the odds totally wrong but please don't think of this as some kind of get in early bitcoin, I can outdo the market type thing and be retired!

This is such a sad slippery slope if you have ever seen someone get sucked into it.
Feb 7 2022 1:27PM
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eheath
Posts: 60348 - Karma: 110,165
NotEnoughSkiingBeware - these are effectively customer grabs. The sites will be ok if they lose a few dollars if they now have you as a customer for life because you are convinced they don't know what they are doing by setting lines.

$10-20 for fun is one thing especially when someone has the odds totally wrong but please don't think of this as some kind of get in early bitcoin, I can outdo the market type thing and be retired!

This is such a sad slippery slope if you have ever seen someone get sucked into it.


thanks mom
Feb 7 2022 1:30PM
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danbrown
Posts: 11930 - Karma: 21,643
eheathIts run by a bunch of dumbass chads who make awful content and think they rule the world. I'd go with Fanduel if it was legal in my state.


pretty sure the sportsbook is run by penn gaming who has nothing at all to do with barstool sports content
Feb 7 2022 1:57PM
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eheath
Posts: 60348 - Karma: 110,165
danbrownpretty sure the sportsbook is run by penn gaming who has nothing at all to do with barstool sports content


idk miss me with anything branded barstool, just my personal opinion, im sure their sportsbook is fine, I just wouldn't use it myself.
Feb 7 2022 1:59PM
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ASSholebomber22
Posts: 6332 - Karma: 67,006
eheathidk miss me with anything branded barstool, just my personal opinion, im sure their sportsbook is fine, I just wouldn't use it myself.


tbh tho 'dumbass chads who think they rule the world' sounds like any sportsbetting app on the planet.
Feb 7 2022 2:15PM
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eheath
Posts: 60348 - Karma: 110,165
Biffbarftbh tho 'dumbass chads who think they rule the world' sounds like any sportsbetting app on the planet.


I would understand why someone might think that, but most sports things get stereotyped into that persona, plenty of people enjoy sports who aren't dumbass chads.
Feb 7 2022 2:20PM
1 0
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jareda580
Posts: 37 - Karma: 71
DrailNerding out right now while watching snowboard qualifiers to see how the course is. I might be way off, but if there's 12 that make the finals this is my predicted results:
1- A Hall (last to drop, taking it from Colby - mirror of Dew Tour)
2- Colby (2rd run)
3- Andri (falls runs 1&2, lands run 3 - overscored)
4- Goepper (early on the drop list, nails 1st run, underscored and belongs on the podium)
5- Forehand
6- Woody (1st run)
7- Jasper (judges just don't know what to do with him)
8- Harlaut (2nd run - wu tang!)
9- Dahl
10- Fabian
11- Evan (couldn't put down a clean run)
12- Moffatt (couldn't put down a clean run)

Bonus: Woodsy and/or Harlaut most likely to do an opposite carve rodeo/bio on jump 1.

Maybe?


Hahahaha I loved this, pretty accurate if you ask me. Especially with Tjader
Feb 9 2022 1:47PM
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Drail
Posts: 13993 - Karma: 9,835
jareda580Hahahaha I loved this, pretty accurate if you ask me. Especially with Tjader


Problem is, while I think A Hall or Colby will win, there's no money to be made there.

I wanna watch and see if I can see the start list for qualifiers before I put money down. Someone like Woodsy has a way better chance if he drops later. He usually nails his first run beautifully, then scrubs his remaining run trying to take it to the parking lot. Let him drop last in qualies and he has a chance.

But in all honesty, every time I play it out and accout for odds, Goepper is the bet. He has the ability to win if he is on poi t for the event, he is hungry for the gold and his odds (12:1 for my provincial lottery) are favorable.

I just placed my bets. Got money on
Goepper (12:1)
Moffatt (14:1)
Evan (20:1)

Let's go!
Feb 11 2022 2:28AM
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pghjibber
Posts: 1298 - Karma: 329
How did everyone do? I took bovada to the cleaners for the third straight Olympics. Placed a $5 parlay on mathilde, a hall and nico and won a cool $1159
Feb 20 2022 2:21PM
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