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El Nino Returns - warm/dry winter

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coolhandluke
Posts: 4465 - Karma: 153
According to NOAA, the Pacific Northwest is in for a warm/dry winter.

Not good news.

For you uninformed peeps: NOAA = National Oceanic & Atmosphereic Administration. They know a little about the weather.

Links On The Upcoming El Nino Winter:
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2699.htm
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/
Sep 13 2006 1:46PM
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Von
Posts: 4869 - Karma: 21
bad news for you kids up there
hopefuly it means cold/tons of snow for colorado
Sep 13 2006 1:50PM
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PeteyG
Posts: 2946 - Karma: 49
if its a col dry winter im gonna run away and go cut myself.
Sep 13 2006 1:55PM
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wrenegade
Posts: 6631 - Karma: 41
Well this is shit.

"The NOAA's Climate Prediction Center said the El Nino probably will spur warmer-than-average temperatures this winter over western and central Canada and the western and northern United States.

It said El Nino also will cause wetter-than-average conditions in the U.S. Gulf Coast and Florida, and spark dry conditions in the Ohio valley, the Pacific Northwest..."

Maybe I shouldn't buy those pontoons.
Sep 13 2006 1:59PM
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GotamaBCshredder
Posts: 5062 - Karma: 424
I live in Bozeman. It will snow hard.
Sep 13 2006 2:00PM
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leone
Posts: 2663 - Karma: 1,121
since when have weathermen ever been right about the weather more than a week away?
Sep 13 2006 4:27PM
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traer
Posts: 690 - Karma: 12
Its sad!! We talked about it a bit in the Oregon Forum too.

https://newschoolers.com/web/forums/readthread/thread_id/238381/
Sep 13 2006 4:53PM
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Detective
Posts: 2545 - Karma: 59
There are so many variables here. It is certainly worth keeping an eye on things though.

We are still going to be ENSO neutral for the next 3 months...and there is only a 50% chance for ENSO positive by December.

Different stength El nino seasons do different things to different areas. For example if the El nino is a fairly weak one...which it seems like this one may be...you can potentially have more precipitation on the west coast. But if it strengthens to even a high weak nino and upwards into strong then indeed it will be warm and dry. However, Colorado, Montana and sometime Utah do get some significant benefit out of a strong el nino. So atleast somewhere with mountains no matter what the strength is there will be some higher than average precipitation in spots.
Sep 13 2006 5:13PM
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forfun
Posts: 4916 - Karma: 66
man fuck this Hood only gets a good year every other year. fuck global warming
Sep 13 2006 5:16PM
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poofartpee
Posts: 7436 - Karma: 1,537
THAT IS SHITYYYYYYYYYYYYYY
Sep 13 2006 6:49PM
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skiEER
Posts: 4089 - Karma: 79
it cant be worse than last year for the east coast
Sep 13 2006 6:51PM
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STAUSS
Posts: 8232 - Karma: 3,311
bollocks... sick icon.
Sep 13 2006 6:52PM
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scientist
Posts: 6920 - Karma: 347
mann a winter here a while ago was amazing. we got the elnino, but it created wetter conditions, yet stayed under freezeng. It was pure bliss. soo mucchhh snnnooowww
Sep 13 2006 6:53PM
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phatbush
Posts: 1693 - Karma: 20
POOP
Sep 13 2006 6:55PM
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cobra_commander
Posts: 16909 - Karma: 4,682
yep two years ago for the PCNW. Basicaly no one opened until Christmas and one place never opened. Baker closed repeaditly along with Crystal.  A little snow in december then rains mid december, then snow start of january for two weeks fallowed by heavy rains fallowed by one of the dryest febuarys ever. then a little in March and a lot first week of april but it was way to late.
Sep 13 2006 6:55PM
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Justo8484
Posts: 3905 - Karma: 204
that sounds exactly like our season in the mid atlantic last year. everywhere opened mid december with a decent snowfall, then january came, it got warm, and it poured. got a little mroe snow in february, but it was still warm overall. march came, mountains got ready to close, and a week or two before closing for all the local mountains, it got cold and winter came back, two months too late.
Sep 13 2006 7:02PM
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DynastarriderGP
Posts: 8258 - Karma: 214
whew, i thought this was gonna be about the east
Sep 13 2006 7:09PM
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matthasaurusrex
Posts: 5160 - Karma: 185
i thought there was a different weather report saying it was gunn abe a good year?
Sep 13 2006 7:10PM
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DeSena
Posts: 4126 - Karma: 1,352
Really? i hear the east or at least maine is gunna be loaded? but thats just the alminac farmers guide
Sep 13 2006 7:12PM
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K2Skier7
Posts: 130 - Karma: 10
dude i hope this is come kind of sick joke.. because as far as i knew el nino happened like every 3 years or so.. and so it wasnt gonna happen again till next season.. if this winter is as bad as it was two years ago in the PNW i will shoot myself in the head with a freakin nail gun.. GAHHH
Sep 13 2006 7:13PM
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chapz
Posts: 10182 - Karma: 66
and i hope the alminac farmers guide is right
Sep 13 2006 7:16PM
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K2Skier7
Posts: 130 - Karma: 10
for sure.. those farmers are smarter than weather men.. (hopefully). maybe i should check out what they say about out west.
Sep 13 2006 7:18PM
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hoodratz47
Posts: 11992 - Karma: 9,212
mat zaphino smokes meth..... have some faith in mother nature you fuck.... and btw its gonna shitdump all winter
Sep 13 2006 7:24PM
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skier_boy26
Posts: 11295 - Karma: 502
2 years ago was the most dreadful thing on this planet. anything near that would be horrid.
Sep 13 2006 7:25PM
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Billiards.
Posts: 6853 - Karma: 816
word Utah too.
Sep 13 2006 8:09PM
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azexp
Posts: 118 - Karma: 10
Two years ago was actually the best winter in a long time for us. Everything missed the PNW and hit us in Flagstaff. We had fresh snow from oct. to mid May.
Sep 13 2006 8:10PM
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skisebski
Posts: 5970 - Karma: 21
hope the east gets dumped on.
Sep 13 2006 8:10PM
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hoodratz47
Posts: 11992 - Karma: 9,212
yean 2004-2005 was the shittiest thing ever.. the east cost beat mt hood.. i mean thats like giving yourself flacitao ya know
Sep 13 2006 8:11PM
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+[wall.e]+
Posts: 1928 - Karma: 18
Tell me about it. Hopefully we beat last year's snowfall of like 60 inches. I bet all year I never had more than 8 inches of snow on my lawn.
Sep 13 2006 8:18PM
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fouldsys
Posts: 7404 - Karma: 39

farmers almanac said the exact opposite

Sep 13 2006 8:22PM
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Beegio
Posts: 74 - Karma: 10
well every hill in the northwest is getting dumped on right now... hopefully the trend continues.

http://www.whistlerblackcomb.com/weather/cams/peak/index.htm
Sep 13 2006 8:56PM
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leone
Posts: 2663 - Karma: 1,121
there better be a cold ass winter
Sep 13 2006 8:58PM
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strongmark
Posts: 3278 - Karma: 883
move to the east coast and well see how your opinion of a shitty winter changes. a good year for us would probably be the equivalent of 11 shots to your head with a nailgun.
Sep 13 2006 9:13PM
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cobra_commander
Posts: 16909 - Karma: 4,682
I really don't think you know what we are talking about when we said it was bad two years ago.
Sep 13 2006 9:17PM
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LittleDevil720
Posts: 3719 - Karma: 8
I heard that today on the radio.....shitttyy
Sep 13 2006 9:23PM
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steezy-joe
Posts: 452 - Karma: 10
FUCK, but someone said it, el nino is a shit load ofprecipitation too so it good go extremely well. and just wait till global warming takes complete charge and starts another ice age. year round skiing, of coarse we'll all be dead by then. fuck. FUCK
Sep 13 2006 9:30PM
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720laxskier
Posts: 2428 - Karma: 5
thatd suck-but we go through this every year
Sep 13 2006 9:31PM
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wdski1242
Posts: 37 - Karma: 11
yo farmers almanac always says its gonna be like eight feet and what did we get last year on the east? shit...shit is the correct answer and the farmers almanac is too optimistic with their predictions so if its gonna be crap in the pacific nw then its gonna dump on the east
Sep 13 2006 9:41PM
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suzia
Posts: 1720 - Karma: 20
exactly but it would be nice to wake up and see snow stay on the groupd for over an hour before melting away, well in our area anyways
Sep 13 2006 9:51PM
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Sashac
Posts: 3197 - Karma: 88
FUCK THAT!!
i say BC is gettin dumped on this winter so teh fuckin weather reports can eat my balls
Sep 13 2006 9:54PM
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Nadia.
Posts: 1124 - Karma: 1,104
I'd like to prove you wrong... it's been snowing for the last few hours in Whistler, peak to midmountain. You can see it from the valley, it's only like 800ft away.
Sep 13 2006 9:55PM
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Sashac
Posts: 3197 - Karma: 88
yay yay yay!! weather reports lick nuts!!
Sep 13 2006 9:56PM
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Kevo
Posts: 2374 - Karma: 136
Gotta break out the caps for this-

sTAY POSITIVE EVERYONE! IF EL NINO ISN'T STRONG, THE PNW WILL GET A TON OF SNOW. COLORADO WILL STILL GET LOTS OF SNOW, WE'LL ALL BE HAPPY OUT HERE. POSITIVE!!!! THINK SNOW, AND LOTS OF IT.
Sep 13 2006 9:58PM
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cobra_commander
Posts: 16909 - Karma: 4,682
I would not have thought you had any.
Sep 13 2006 9:58PM
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prophet
Posts: 4734 - Karma: 1,007
2 years ago in the PNW was dismal for sure, but who remembers march/april? 9 feet in like 2 weeks at whistler. coverage like i've never seen in my life in ridiculous, normally rocky places... those 2 months alone were almost worth it.
Sep 13 2006 10:03PM
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steezy-joe
Posts: 452 - Karma: 10
yeah true but id rather have a long descent season then a great quick one.
Sep 13 2006 10:12PM
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fatskis11
Posts: 24 - Karma: 10
El Nino generally means a pretty sick season for those of us who ski in northern new mexico and southern colorado. I can't wait to huck my self into billows of soft powder. It's about time!
Sep 13 2006 10:22PM
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holyDINOSAURS
Posts: 7038 - Karma: 639
haha whatever, think positive everybody, itll all be great
Sep 13 2006 10:26PM
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steezy-joe
Posts: 452 - Karma: 10
god, dont rub it in haha. it could be good for us oregonians too but unlikely, but i gots mi fingahs crossed.
Sep 13 2006 10:29PM
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coolhandluke
Posts: 4465 - Karma: 153
yeah NOAA and Farmers Almanac are saying the opposite.

i'd just like a large amount of snow deposited in the mountains so i can get off the internet and go ski.
Sep 13 2006 10:57PM
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K2Skier7
Posts: 130 - Karma: 10
ya i gotta agree with all these super positive hippy folk. if we are all positive about the snow it will come. a thought of snow a day will keep THE NINO at bay. so keep up the happy thoughts. YAY FOR SNOW!!!!!!!!!!!!
Sep 13 2006 11:00PM
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